Run by Scale AI and Center for AI Safety. Leaderboard date not shown. Last checked 22 Oct 2026. Showing top 20 of 55 models listed.
Accuracy vs calibration Ranked
G Highlighting Google models. Other providers are dimmed. Show all providers
A AnthropicO OpenAIG GoogleM MetaK MoonshotHumanity's Last Exam: Calibration error (lower is better) vs Accuracy Scatter plot of 18 models. Leader on Calibration error (lower is better): Fable 5.1 (xhigh) at 20%. Google models highlighted. Full values in the table below. 20% 30% 40% 50% 20% 40% 60% ACCURACY CALIBRATION ERROR (LOWER IS BETTER) · FLIPPED, BETTER IS UP o3 (high) (April 2025) (OpenAI): Accuracy 20.32%, Calibration error (lower is better) 34% O gpt-5.1-thinking (OpenAI): Accuracy 23.68%, Calibration error (lower is better) 55% O kimi-k2.5 (Moonshot): Accuracy 24.37%, Calibration error (lower is better) 67% K claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking (Anthropic): Accuracy 25.20%, Calibration error (lower is better) 55% A gpt-5-2025-08-07 (OpenAI): Accuracy 25.32%, Calibration error (lower is better) 50% O gpt-5.2-2025-12-11 (OpenAI): Accuracy 27.80%, Calibration error (lower is better) 45% O gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06 (OpenAI): Accuracy 31.64%, Calibration error (lower is better) 49% O claude-opus-4-6-thinking-max (Anthropic): Accuracy 34.44%, Calibration error (lower is better) 46% A claude-opus-4-7 (Anthropic): Accuracy 36.20%, Calibration error (lower is better) 47% A gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 (xhigh thinking) (OpenAI): Accuracy 36.24%, Calibration error (lower is better) 42% O Muse Spark (Meta): Accuracy 40.56%, Calibration error (lower is better) 50% M gpt-5.4-pro-2026-03-05 (OpenAI): Accuracy 44.32%, Calibration error (lower is better) 38% O Fable 5.1 (xhigh) (Anthropic): Accuracy 46.50%, Calibration error (lower is better) 20% A GPT 6 Astra (OpenAI): Accuracy 54.80%, Calibration error (lower is better) 39% O gemini-2.5-pro-preview-06-05 (Google): Accuracy 21.64%, Calibration error (lower is better) 72% G gemini-3-pro-preview (Google): Accuracy 37.52%, Calibration error (lower is better) 57% G Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google): Accuracy 44.52%, Calibration error (lower is better) 51% G gemini-3.1-pro-preview (thinking high) (Google): Accuracy 46.44%, Calibration error (lower is better) 51% G gemini-3.1-pro-preview Gemini 3.8 Flash Fable 5.1
Humanity's Last Exam: Calibration error (lower is better) vs Accuracy Scatter plot of 18 models. Leader on Calibration error (lower is better): Fable 5.1 (xhigh) at 20%. Google models highlighted. Full values in the table below. 20% 30% 40% 50% 20% 40% 60% ACCURACY CALIBRATION ERROR (LOWER IS BETTER) · FLIPPED, BETTER IS UP o3 (high) (April 2025) (OpenAI): Accuracy 20.32%, Calibration error (lower is better) 34% O gpt-5.1-thinking (OpenAI): Accuracy 23.68%, Calibration error (lower is better) 55% O kimi-k2.5 (Moonshot): Accuracy 24.37%, Calibration error (lower is better) 67% K claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking (Anthropic): Accuracy 25.20%, Calibration error (lower is better) 55% A gpt-5-2025-08-07 (OpenAI): Accuracy 25.32%, Calibration error (lower is better) 50% O gpt-5.2-2025-12-11 (OpenAI): Accuracy 27.80%, Calibration error (lower is better) 45% O gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06 (OpenAI): Accuracy 31.64%, Calibration error (lower is better) 49% O claude-opus-4-6-thinking-max (Anthropic): Accuracy 34.44%, Calibration error (lower is better) 46% A claude-opus-4-7 (Anthropic): Accuracy 36.20%, Calibration error (lower is better) 47% A gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 (xhigh thinking) (OpenAI): Accuracy 36.24%, Calibration error (lower is better) 42% O Muse Spark (Meta): Accuracy 40.56%, Calibration error (lower is better) 50% M gpt-5.4-pro-2026-03-05 (OpenAI): Accuracy 44.32%, Calibration error (lower is better) 38% O Fable 5.1 (xhigh) (Anthropic): Accuracy 46.50%, Calibration error (lower is better) 20% A GPT 6 Astra (OpenAI): Accuracy 54.80%, Calibration error (lower is better) 39% O gemini-2.5-pro-preview-06-05 (Google): Accuracy 21.64%, Calibration error (lower is better) 72% G gemini-3-pro-preview (Google): Accuracy 37.52%, Calibration error (lower is better) 57% G Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google): Accuracy 44.52%, Calibration error (lower is better) 51% G gemini-3.1-pro-preview (thinking high) (Google): Accuracy 46.44%, Calibration error (lower is better) 51% G gemini-3.1-pro-preview Gemini 3.8 Flash Fable 5.1
Humanity's Last Exam: top 15 by Accuracy Bars from zero. Leader: GPT 6 Astra at 54.80%. Google models highlighted. Full values in the table below. 0% 20% 40% 60% GPT 6 Astra (OpenAI), rank 1: 54.80% O GPT 6 Astra 54.80% Fable 5.1 (xhigh) (Anthropic), rank 2: 46.50% A Fable 5.1 46.50% gemini-3.1-pro-preview (thinking high) (Google), rank 3: 46.44% G gemini-3.1-pro-preview 46.44% Sonnet 5.5 (xhigh) (Anthropic), rank 4: 46.12% A Sonnet 5.5 46.12% Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google), rank 5: 44.52% G Gemini 3.8 Flash 44.52% gpt-5.4-pro-2026-03-05 (OpenAI), rank 6: 44.32% O gpt-5.4-pro-2026-03-05 44.32% Muse Spark (Meta), rank 7: 40.56% M Muse Spark 40.56% gemini-3-pro-preview (Google), rank 8: 37.52% G gemini-3-pro-preview 37.52% gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 (xhigh thinking) (OpenAI), rank 9: 36.24% O gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 36.24% claude-opus-4-7 (Anthropic), rank 10: 36.20% A claude-opus-4-7 36.20% claude-opus-4-6-thinking-max (Anthropic), rank 11: 34.44% A claude-opus-4-6-thinking-max 34.44% gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06 (OpenAI), rank 12: 31.64% O gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06 31.64% Claude Haiku 5.5 (Anthropic), rank 13: 30.12% A Claude Haiku 5.5 30.12% gpt-5.2-2025-12-11 (OpenAI), rank 14: 27.80% O gpt-5.2-2025-12-11 27.80% gpt-5-2025-08-07 (OpenAI), rank 15: 25.32% O gpt-5-2025-08-07 25.32% gemini-2.5-pro-preview-06-05 (Google), rank 19: 21.64% G #19 gemini-2.5-pro-preview-… 21.64%
Humanity's Last Exam: top 12 by Accuracy Bars from zero. Leader: GPT 6 Astra at 54.80%. Google models highlighted. Full values in the table below. 0% 20% 40% 60% GPT 6 Astra (OpenAI), rank 1: 54.80% O GPT 6 Astra 54.80% Fable 5.1 (xhigh) (Anthropic), rank 2: 46.50% A Fable 5.1 46.50% gemini-3.1-pro-preview (thinking high) (Google), rank 3: 46.44% G gemini-3.1-pro-p… 46.44% Sonnet 5.5 (xhigh) (Anthropic), rank 4: 46.12% A Sonnet 5.5 46.12% Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google), rank 5: 44.52% G Gemini 3.8 Flash 44.52% gpt-5.4-pro-2026-03-05 (OpenAI), rank 6: 44.32% O gpt-5.4-pro-2026… 44.32% Muse Spark (Meta), rank 7: 40.56% M Muse Spark 40.56% gemini-3-pro-preview (Google), rank 8: 37.52% G gemini-3-pro-pre… 37.52% gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 (xhigh thinking) (OpenAI), rank 9: 36.24% O gpt-5.4-2026-03-… 36.24% claude-opus-4-7 (Anthropic), rank 10: 36.20% A claude-opus-4-7 36.20% claude-opus-4-6-thinking-max (Anthropic), rank 11: 34.44% A claude-opus-4-6-… 34.44% gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06 (OpenAI), rank 12: 31.64% O gpt-5-pro-2025-1… 31.64% gemini-2.5-pro-preview-06-05 (Google), rank 19: 21.64% G #19 gemini-2.5-p… 21.64%
Model names as listed by Scale. Two models have no published calibration error, so they appear in the table and ranked view only.